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Scheherazade in Blue Jeans
freelance alchemist
2nd-Feb-2010 10:53 am
I have Opinions. I know, you're shocked.

I will bold what should win, IMO, and italicize what I think will win.

Actor in a Leading Role
Jeff Bridges in "Crazy Heart"
George Clooney in "Up in the Air"
Colin Firth in "A Single Man"
Morgan Freeman in "Invictus"
Jeremy Renner in "The Hurt Locker"

(I hear huge buzz on Bridges, and from what I hear, I won't be annoyed if this does go to him. But Renner was brilliant.)

Actor in a Supporting Role
Matt Damon in "Invictus"
Woody Harrelson in "The Messenger"
Christopher Plummer in "The Last Station"
Stanley Tucci in "The Lovely Bones"
Christoph Waltz in "Inglourious Basterds"

Actress in a Leading Role
Sandra Bullock in "The Blind Side"
Helen Mirren in "The Last Station"
Carey Mulligan in "An Education"
Gabourey Sidibe in "Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire"
Meryl Streep in "Julie & Julia"

(Call me a ridiculous optimist, but I think Sidibe really has a shot. If not Sidibe, I can see this going to Mirren, but this isn't Streep's strongest, so I will be eye-rolly if she gets it. The Academy may use this to make a statement for Sidibe, a debut actress in a very strong role.)

Actress in a Supporting Role
Penélope Cruz in "Nine"
Vera Farmiga in "Up in the Air"
Maggie Gyllenhaal in "Crazy Heart"
Anna Kendrick in "Up in the Air"
Mo’Nique in "Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire"

(Buzz like whoa on Mo'Nique, and the women of "Up in the Air" will split the vote. If Cruz gets it, I'm gonna slap someone.)

Animated Feature Film
"Coraline" Henry Selick
"Fantastic Mr. Fox" Wes Anderson
"The Princess and the Frog" John Musker and Ron Clements
"The Secret of Kells" Tomm Moore
"Up" Pete Docter

(The only way I can see Up not winning is if its nomination for Best Picture splits its votes. If Up doesn't win, Coraline should.)

Art Direction
"Avatar" Art Direction: Rick Carter and Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Kim Sinclair
"The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus" Art Direction: Dave Warren and Anastasia Masaro; Set Decoration: Caroline Smith
"Nine" Art Direction: John Myhre; Set Decoration: Gordon Sim
"Sherlock Holmes" Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
"The Young Victoria" Art Direction: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Maggie Gray

(Please not Avatar.)

"Avatar" Mauro Fiore
"Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince" Bruno Delbonnel
"The Hurt Locker" Barry Ackroyd
"Inglourious Basterds" Robert Richardson
"The White Ribbon" Christian Berger

(Please not Avatar.)

Costume Design
"Bright Star" Janet Patterson
"Coco before Chanel" Catherine Leterrier
"The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus" Monique Prudhomme
"Nine" Colleen Atwood
"The Young Victoria" Sandy Powell

"Avatar" James Cameron
"The Hurt Locker" Kathryn Bigelow
"Inglourious Basterds" Quentin Tarantino
"Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire" Lee Daniels
"Up in the Air" Jason Reitman

(BETTER NOT BE FUCKING AVATAR. I'm rooting for Hurt Locker. Bigelow deserves this. Reitman's also excellent, but Bigelow did a better job this year.)

Documentary (Feature)
"Burma VJ" Anders Østergaard and Lise Lense-Møller
"The Cove" Nominees to be determined
"Food, Inc." Robert Kenner and Elise Pearlstein
"The Most Dangerous Man in America: Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers" Judith Ehrlich and Rick Goldsmith
"Which Way Home" Rebecca Cammisa

Documentary (Short Subject)
"China’s Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan Province" Jon Alpert and Matthew O’Neill
"The Last Campaign of Governor Booth Gardner" Daniel Junge and Henry Ansbacher
"The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant" Steven Bognar and Julia Reichert
"Music by Prudence" Roger Ross Williams and Elinor Burkett
"Rabbit à la Berlin" Bartek Konopka and Anna Wydra

Film Editing
"Avatar" Stephen Rivkin, John Refoua and James Cameron
"District 9" Julian Clarke
"The Hurt Locker" Bob Murawski and Chris Innis
"Inglourious Basterds" Sally Menke
"Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire" Joe Klotz

Foreign Language Film
"Ajami" Israel
"El Secreto de Sus Ojos" Argentina
"The Milk of Sorrow" Peru
"Un Prophète" France
"The White Ribbon" Germany

"Il Divo" Aldo Signoretti and Vittorio Sodano
"Star Trek" Barney Burman, Mindy Hall and Joel Harlow
"The Young Victoria" Jon Henry Gordon and Jenny Shircore

Music (Original Score)
"Avatar" James Horner
"Fantastic Mr. Fox" Alexandre Desplat
"The Hurt Locker" Marco Beltrami and Buck Sanders
"Sherlock Holmes" Hans Zimmer
"Up" Michael Giacchino

Music (Original Song)
"Almost There" from "The Princess and the Frog" Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
"Down in New Orleans" from "The Princess and the Frog" Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
"Loin de Paname" from "Paris 36" Music by Reinhardt Wagner Lyric by Frank Thomas
"Take It All" from "Nine" Music and Lyric by Maury Yeston
"The Weary Kind (Theme from Crazy Heart)" from "Crazy Heart" Music and Lyric by Ryan Bingham and T Bone Burnett

Best Picture
"Avatar" James Cameron and Jon Landau, Producers
"The Blind Side" Nominees to be determined
"District 9" Peter Jackson and Carolynne Cunningham, Producers
"An Education" Finola Dwyer and Amanda Posey, Producers
"The Hurt Locker" Nominees to be determined
"Inglourious Basterds" Lawrence Bender, Producer
"Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire" Lee Daniels, Sarah Siegel-Magness and Gary Magness, Producers
"A Serious Man" Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, Producers
"Up" Jonas Rivera, Producer
"Up in the Air" Daniel Dubiecki, Ivan Reitman and Jason Reitman, Producers

(The big one. I just do not know. I'd love to see District 9 take it, but Hurt Locker has a better shot; so does Precious. I've heard excellent things about all of these things except Avatar and The Blind Side.)

Short Film (Animated)
"French Roast" Fabrice O. Joubert
"Granny O’Grimm’s Sleeping Beauty" Nicky Phelan and Darragh O’Connell
"The Lady and the Reaper (La Dama y la Muerte)" Javier Recio Gracia
"Logorama" Nicolas Schmerkin
"A Matter of Loaf and Death" Nick Park

Short Film (Live Action)
"The Door" Juanita Wilson and James Flynn
"Instead of Abracadabra" Patrik Eklund and Mathias Fjellström
"Kavi" Gregg Helvey
"Miracle Fish" Luke Doolan and Drew Bailey
"The New Tenants" Joachim Back and Tivi Magnusson

Sound Editing
"Avatar" Christopher Boyes and Gwendolyn Yates Whittle
"The Hurt Locker" Paul N.J. Ottosson
"Inglourious Basterds" Wylie Stateman
"Star Trek" Mark Stoeckinger and Alan Rankin
"Up" Michael Silvers and Tom Myers

Sound Mixing
"Avatar" Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers, Andy Nelson and Tony Johnson
"The Hurt Locker" Paul N.J. Ottosson and Ray Beckett
"Inglourious Basterds" Michael Minkler, Tony Lamberti and Mark Ulano
"Star Trek" Anna Behlmer, Andy Nelson and Peter J. Devlin
"Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen" Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers and Geoffrey Patterson

Visual Effects
"Avatar" Joe Letteri, Stephen Rosenbaum, Richard Baneham and Andrew R. Jones
"District 9" Dan Kaufman, Peter Muyzers, Robert Habros and Matt Aitken
"Star Trek" Roger Guyett, Russell Earl, Paul Kavanagh and Burt Dalton

(This is the one category I'll concede Avatar's worthiness in. It's shit, but it's pretty shit.)

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
"District 9" Written by Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell
"An Education" Screenplay by Nick Hornby
"In the Loop" Screenplay by Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche
"Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire" Screenplay by Geoffrey Fletcher
"Up in the Air" Screenplay by Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner

Writing (Original Screenplay)
"The Hurt Locker" Written by Mark Boal
"Inglourious Basterds" Written by Quentin Tarantino
"The Messenger" Written by Alessandro Camon & Oren Moverman
"A Serious Man" Written by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
"Up" Screenplay by Bob Peterson, Pete Docter, Story by Pete Docter, Bob Peterson, Tom McCarthy

(Hurt Locker and The Messenger may split.)

2nd-Feb-2010 03:56 pm (UTC)
Please please please please not Avatar.
2nd-Feb-2010 03:58 pm (UTC)
It's going to win stuff, and I'm going to go AAARGH every time.

Just not Best Picture, Best Director, etc., PLEASE...
3rd-Feb-2010 03:19 pm (UTC)

I would especially like it if Bigelow got it... just a little extra in-your-face to Cameron.

I do not understand why everyone likes this movie, this Avatar. it's PRETTY, don't get me wrong... excellent effects. But it's still 'Pocahontas the Space Smurf in Ferngully' with a TON of really objectionable racist/sexist stereotypes and a lousy script. And I want more out of a 'Best' Picture than 'pretty to look at.' That's what art direction, cinematography and VisFx awards are for.
2nd-Feb-2010 07:23 pm (UTC)

But I have a feeling it'll take the big ones.
2nd-Feb-2010 09:52 pm (UTC)
I can't get your link to work!
2nd-Feb-2010 09:59 pm (UTC)
It's not a link, hon. I just underlined it with html. :)
2nd-Feb-2010 03:59 pm (UTC)
I may be misreading the subtle clues, but you didn't entirely like Avatar, did you?


It's a crime that neither Tom Waits nor Verne Troyer got Supporting nods for Parnassus. Sigh.
2nd-Feb-2010 04:01 pm (UTC)
I am subtle with a capital B.

I'm cranky that Moon was totally snubbed. Rockwell and Jones both deserved noms.
2nd-Feb-2010 04:25 pm (UTC) - Oh Ditto...
I was really disappointed not to see Moon at all.
2nd-Feb-2010 09:53 pm (UTC)
Moon rocked.
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2nd-Feb-2010 04:09 pm (UTC)
I still haven't seen Fantastic Mr. Fox yet (the original trailer turned me off, and Wes Anderson grates on me... but by the time I mustered up the enthusiasm to see it, it was out of theaters) but I hear that's a good contender for the animated feature, too.

Also: Please not Avatar.
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2nd-Feb-2010 05:11 pm (UTC)
A couple of dirty secrets about the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences is that most members of the Academy know jack shit.

Fixed that for you.
2nd-Feb-2010 09:08 pm (UTC)
I vote on actual merit. Hmph.

(And that box office is ludicrously inflated due to IMAX tickets costing twice as much.)
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2nd-Feb-2010 04:57 pm (UTC)
First thought: I think this is the first year in a few where I honestly don't feel like I can predict 75% of the winners going in. This should be interesting.

Second thought: If Bigelow loses, I'm taking hostages.

Third thought: I'd better start getting my flash cards prepped. Suspecting I might possibly be a screaming dork.

Fourth thought: Oh, dude, why didn't anyone tell me that they got Bruno Delbonnel to do the cinematography on Harry Potter?! ** (Yup. Definitely a dork. Sigh.)

** He's the guy who shot Amélie for Jean-Pierre Jeunet, among other things. He makes me all swoony-like.
2nd-Feb-2010 05:15 pm (UTC)
Up is the only Best Picture nominee I have seen, so I can't be objective, but I really want it to win regardless. And if it loses, I just hope it won't be to Avatar.
2nd-Feb-2010 06:03 pm (UTC)

Woody Harrelson should win Best Supporting Actor for Zombieland...which should win Best Film, Best Script, Best Everything Ever and there should never be any more Acadamy Awards because what's the point?

Though honestly, I stopped caring when I was 8 and Star Wars didn't win Best Picture -- the Oscars are a gyp.


2nd-Feb-2010 09:09 pm (UTC)
(Future reference: not okay with use of "gyp".)
2nd-Feb-2010 07:29 pm (UTC)
Oooh, if I have time I want to write my own Oscars post. :)
2nd-Feb-2010 08:11 pm (UTC)
I know why you are against Avatar, but did you see it? I went in to see it with your thoughts in mind, and I was still blown away. I'm glad you said something in your journal ahead of time, because I feel I came out with a balanced view of the movie afterwards, but seriously, it was amazing in many ways. It was very, very moving. Both heartbreaking and inspiring. (And yes, totally Dances with Wolves meets Fern Gully).

But no, Cameron should not win for director. I feel alot of this movie came straight from the actors' hearts, and not from him.
2nd-Feb-2010 09:12 pm (UTC)
Haven't seen it; I've had very little movie time so far this year (don't think I've gotten to anything yet), and either way, I can't do 3D.

Fun fact: Know how neurologists check to be sure you're taking your antiseizure meds? They have you visually track their finger. If you can, you're not taking your meds. Weird side effect - on antiseizure meds, you get built-in lag.

So 3D is tremendously unpleasant for me, because I can't visually track quickly enough to make it into a movie and not a jumpcutty chaos.
2nd-Feb-2010 09:45 pm (UTC)
Hmm. I thought it was also offered in non-3D? I'm sure it was around here. Well it's a shame that you in fact, *can't* see it, even if you wanted to. I mean, big blue humanoids are not nearly as interesting on a small screen ;)

That is a very strange side-effect. I imagine that basically cuts out alot of things that require quick visual tracking/response time like driving and certain video games, huh?
3rd-Feb-2010 04:36 am (UTC)
It is offered in 3D. We've been going to non-3D versions of movies for a while because 'Sea doesn't handle 3D movies all that well. Also - I heard an interesting non-fun-happy thing about the effect Cameron wanted with 3D - which could make for extreme awesomeness, but does NOT bode well for people who have issues with 3D.

I *do* want to see this movie specifically for the effects and for the music...I do NOT want to see it in 3D.
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